So I prayed the official prayer for our book,"I hope everything is cool." and via AOL Instant Messenger, Victor messaged me,"Everything is cool" without having knowledge of my prayer.

We know from this article that the estimate of the number of words I estimate I know is 50,000

Now when forming a three word sentence, you cannot use 1/50,000 words three times. Some words are verbs, some are adjectives, some adverbs and others are nouns. We can divide 50,000 words by about 10 for forms of building blocks of sentences. I always like to deflate the odds in favor of it being a coincidence, and 10 is a very conservative amount to divide by. This 10 is basically, the odds of any word being a valid word in the position it is in on a 3 word sentence. I think it is a good estimate.

If you're unsure what I mean, think of this: You have two words done in a sentence, and want the final third word. What is the odd a third word would be valid syntactically?

Lets say for example sake we said: Those are X. The X is the variable. We would then scour the dictionary starting from the start and going through the whole dictionary(or far enough for an acceptable sample size). If a word would syntactially be correct, then it you add one to the total of words syntactically correct in that spot and you divide by all the words you examined. Anyway, I'm getting too much into this, but I think 1 in 10 words being syntactically correct for each position is fine. So the odds are 50,000 words I know 1 in 10 words being syntactically correct for each position. So 5,000 words are possible for each position.

Lets take the odds down even further. A lot of words said would be nonsensical sayings. The number of words that can be written in any spot is much less than 1/10. We could imagine it would be another order of magnitude less or 1/10 more. So we had 5,000 words are possible for each of the three positions, and we multiply by 1/10 words that make sense there. We're down to 500 choices per word.

We have 3 words. So that is 1 pick /500 choices per word* 1 pick /500 choices per word * 1 pick / 500 choices per word. That ends up being 1 in 125,000,000. But that is just the odds that he picks the right words to say.

We should take into account that he may have said a sentence longer or shorter than 3 words. For a very small sample size, I just scrolled back in my texts to see how long until Victor said a 3 word text. It took 19 texts before I ran across one. So lets say the odds are 1/19. We don't need to be super accurate, just within an order of magnitude. So our odds of a 3 word sentence being texted by Victor is roughly 1/19 and the odds of that three word sentence being the specific words "Everything is cool" is 1/125,000,000. Multiply 1/19* 1/125,000,000 = 1/2,375,000,000 odds of saying a 3 word sentence and that being 3 word sentence of exact words I prayed.

It doesn't take into account that he instantly sent me it as soon as I said my prayer too. We were actively talking at the time. So lets say he was texting me on average once every 30 seconds. And the window for an instant answer is in 5 seconds. So the odds that Victor said something right there in under 5 seconds after the prayer is 5second window divided by the 30 second intervals I'd expect him chatting 5/30 = 1/6 of a timely response.

So lets bring it together: 1/2,375,000 odds of of saying a 3 word sentence and that being 3 word sentence of exact words I prayed * 1/6 of a timely response =
1 in 14,250,000,000,000 odds of saying a 3 word sentence and that being 3 word sentence of exact words I prayed in a timely response.

Miracle:

When Victor and I(Jim Sager) were about to finalize publishing this book, I felt the need to pray for it. I thought prayed,"God, I hope everything is cool" *immediately* after, Victor IMs me,"Everything is cool". I feel God endorses our book! Victor and I's goals are to let everyone know God is real, Jesus is Lord, and he is good.

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