Cornel says the odds of seeing a shooting star are 1 in 10 minutes. I looked up and instantly saw a shooting star within a second, but we've been running with the idea that a moment(instant) for God can be up to five seconds. Choosing 5 seconds over 1 second makes the odds less astronomical. The idea is that we don't want to exaggerate numbers, so we choose numbers that makes the chance seem more likely. This makes the unlikely chance result we get seem even more impressive.

So 5 seconds goes into a minute 12 times: 5 seconds per moment /60 seconds per minute=12 moments a minute. A shooting star happens once every 10 minutes. So 12 moments per minute * 1 expected shooting star/10 minutes = 1 expected shooting star / 120 moments.


Odds of immediately seeing a shooting star looking up if withing 5 seconds and taking the whole sky into account= 1/120
This seems rather probable compared to the other miracles. Lets look at things that could make the odds more unlikely:

The shooting star happened the very second I looked up. We're saying an acceptable moment is every 5 seconds, but if we want it to happen the very second I look up, you multiply by 5 or 1/600.

I think Cornel was looking at the sky in wide vision, but the shooting star happened exactly in the center of where I was looking at. Calculating something happening right in the middle instead of a wide field of view might be like 1/(9+16) or 1/25 of being right in the middle of view.

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So 1/600 is the odds of immediately seeing a shooting star looking up within a second and we multiply that by 1/25 for the odds of it being right in the center of our view and you're at: 1/15000 odds of immediately seeing a shooting star looking up if within 1 second and in the middle of your vision

Either odds you consider, it is amazing for God to say to look up and see a light flash, and I was expecting a shooting star, and saw one. You know what, the odds actually might be more likely to happen if you consider other possible acceptable flashes such as a helicopter or plane. But I really was expecting a shooting star in my mind before I looked up.
Main odds calculating page.

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